disclaimer: The datasets shared in the following article have been compiled from a set of online resources and do not reflect AMBCrypto’s own research on the subjectAre you unhappy as a MATIC holder? Well, chances are you are.There is some good news, however – You are not alone. What’s more – It’s likely that there will be more good news going forward on the back of the market’s general bullishness.Consider this – The crypto-winter saw MATIC fall all the way down to $0.324 on 19 June 2022 – Its lowest level in over a year.Does this reversal signal a bull run or is it a dead-cat bounce waiting to fleece unknowing investors? In this article, we will take a look at events that have influenced MATIC’s price and the ones that will affect its future.Polygon is arguably Ethereum’s best layer-2 scaling solution. For a project that started in 2017, Polygon has grown rather quickly. The network has processed more than 1.8 billion transactions till date. Sandeep Nailwal and his team wouldn’t have anticipated that they would have more than 4 billion of their native token MATIC staked within 5 years of its launch.According to PolygonScan, there are more than 170 million unique Polygon addresses. Just this month alone, the network has added 2.3 million new addresses, at an average rate of almost 150,000 per day.On the other hand, MATIC’s YTD chart reveals a much different story. Since January, the crypto ranked 12 on CoinMarketCap has tanked almost 68%, dropping from $2.58, all the way down to $0.82. Part of this loss can be attributed to the notorious crypto winter that has not spared any crypto.However, the most recent event that has affected Polygon is Ethereum’s merge which saw the network shift to a proof-of-stake consensus model. MATIC’s 24-hour volume shrunk by over 16%, indicating that investors are staying away from the crypto to avoid catching the aftershocks of the merge, after all, Polygon is an Ethereum layer 2 scaling solution.At the time of writing, MATIC was trading at $0.82. The market capitalization stood at $6.05 billion with $321.2 million traded over the last 24 hours. With over 142 million unique user addresses and $5 billion in assets secured, Polygon PoS has processed more than 1.6 billion transactions to date.2021: A turning point for PolygonIn February 2021, Matic rebranded to Polygon in a bid to provide a scalable version of Ethereum’s infrastructure and introduce overlay rollups to combine other layer 2 platforms for instant transactions, among other things. Polygon retained the name of its native token MATIC. The token proceeded to gain by over 200% over the next 30 days. Polygon runs on the proof-of-stake consensus protocol and can be described as an Ethereum layer 2 scaling solution with the best of both worlds.In 2021, MATIC’s price went soaring thanks to the increasing popularity of Ethereum and surging activity in NFTs and play-to-earn games like Axie Infinity. MATIC began the year at a humble $0.018 and a market cap of $81 million. By the end of the year, MATIC’s market cap hit a whopping $20 billion, with the altcoin touching its all-time high of $2.92 on 27 December.On 12 May 2021, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin donated crypto worth $1 billion to the India Covid-19 relief fund set up by Nailwal. This seemingly unrelated event caused MATIC to surge by 145% within the next 48 hours. By 18 May, the token had gone from $1.01 all the way up to $2.45, gaining 240%.In May 2021, Polygon was in the news after it received backing from billionaire investor Mark Cuban, who revealed plans to integrate his NFT platform Lazy.com with Polygon. Following his investment in Polygon, Cuban claimed that the Polygon Network was “destroying everybody else” at the Defi Summit Virtual Conference in June 2021.Since the beginning of 2022, Polygon has secured various partnerships, most notably with Adobe’s Behance, Draftkings and billionaire hedge fund manager Alan Howard for the development of Web3 projects. Polygon boasts partnerships across various industries. Instagram and Polygon have collaborated on NFTs too.Stripe has launched global crypto pay-outs with Polygon. Fashion brands like Adidas Originals and Prada have launched NFT collections on polygonBased on gathered adoption metrics, Alchemy has described Polygon to be the best-positioned protocol to drive the booming Web3 ecosystem. Data from Alchemy also showed that at press time, Polygon hosted more than 19,000 decentralized applications (dApps) on its network.On 27 May 2022, Tether (USDT) , the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, announced that it was launching on the Polygon Network. MATIC rose by more than 10% following news of the launch.Citigroup released a report in April 2022, one in which it described Polygon as the AWS of Web3. The report went on to claim that the Metaverse economy is estimated to be worth a whopping $13 trillion by 2030, with most of it being developed on the Polygon Network. Citigroup also believes that Polygon will see widespread adoption thanks to its low transaction fees and developer-friendly ecosystem.The Terra network’s collapse in May 2022 triggered an exodus of developers and projects. Polygon soon announced a multi-million dollar, Terra Developers Fund, in a bid to help the migration of anyone looking to switch networks. On 8 July, Polygon Studios CEO Ryan Wyatt tweeted that over 48 Terra projects had migrated to Polygon.Crypto exchange Coinbase published a report on 8 August 2022 which claimed that the future of Layer 2 scaling solutions could very well be a zero-sum game, hinting that layer 2 solutions like Polygon could overtake Ethereum in terms of economic activity.On 8 August 2022, blockchain security form PeckShield reported a rug pull by Polygon-based play-to-earn game Dragoma, following a sharp decline in the value of its native token DMA. The same has been corroborated by data from Polygonscan which shows a clear surge in token transfers and transfer amount on the day of the alleged rug pull which led to a loss of over $1 million.In the week following Polygon’s announcement of the Gnosis bridge, MATIC surged more than 18% breaking the crucial resistance at $1 for a brief period. This feature paves the way for Web3 teams like Defi protocols and DAOs to transfer assets between Ethereum and Polygon, for considerably fewer gas fees without compromising on security.Numbers from the 32nd edition of PolygonInsights, a weekly report published by Polygon outlining key network metrics, indicated that in spite of dropping down from the $1 mark that MATIC had reclaimed barely a week before, not all was lost. Weekly NFT volume stood at $902 million, a whopping 800% increase from the previous week. Meanwhile, Active wallets grew by 75% to 280,000.In an industry that is often bashed for being energy intensive and harmful to the environment, Polygon has distinguished itself by achieving network carbon neutrality after offloading $400,000 in carbon credits. This nullified the carbon debt accrued by the network. As per the ‘Green Manifesto’ published by Polygon, they now plan to achieve the status of being carbon-negative by the end of 2022. In fact, they have pledged $20 million towards that milestone.Cercle X, the world’s first decentralized application for waste management solutions, announced on 15 August that it had integrated with Polygon to leverage Web3 to digitize the garbage disposal process by developing a waste management dashboard.Polygon TokenomicsPolygon has a maximum total supply of 10 billion tokens, out of which 8 billion are currently in circulation. The remaining 2 billion tokens will be unlocked periodically over the next four years and will primarily be disbursed through staking rewards. The initial exchange offering was held on Binance through the Binance Launch Pad to facilitate the sale of 19% of the tokens.ConclusionMATIC’s recovery since the market-wide sell-off in May has been impressive, but it is possible that the trend reverses if investors choose to book their profits. Especially given that a lot of them have seen their holdings diminish due to the ongoing crypto-winter and the prospect of leaving in the green will be tempting.Speaking at the Korea Blockchain Week 2022, co-founder Sandeep Nailwal suggested that bearish conditions such as the ongoing crypto winter provide a ‘noise-free’ environment suitable for talent acquisition and marketing. This could mean that Polygon comes out ahead once the trend reverses and the bulls are back in charge of the market. Crypto experts seem to be divided over the aftermath of the much-anticipated Ethereum merge which is scheduled for next month. Some believe that when ETH 2.0 arrives, it may make scaling solutions redundant – or at least less important. The counter for that is magic plans to expand to other blockchains and the interoperability capabilities in future will offset any threat that Ethereum’s merge presents. The other side of experts has argued that the merge will make Ethereum more eco-friendly by reducing energy consumption, and by extension will benefit layer 2 scaling solutions like Polygon by increasing its appeal to investors as environment-friendly crypto. In addition to this, MATIC would also be poised for a surge in value since Ethereum’s merger will have no effect on its controversially high gas fees, effectively advertising Polygon’s use case. In a blog post on 23 August, The Polygon team addressed the community’s concerns regarding the merger and its impact on the network.The team assured users that the merge is good news and nothing to worry about. The team went on to explain that while the merge will reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption significantly, it will not have any effect on the gas fees or transaction speed, which is a major problem for the network. “the network depends on Polygon and other Layer 2 solutions to solve for this. “ the team added.The team reiterated that the growth of Ethereum will lead to the growth of Polygon and that the future of both networks is symbiotic.This statement from the Ethereum Foundation will come as a relief to those worried about the impact of the merge on the polygon network, “The Ethereum ecosystem is firmly aligned that layer 2 scaling is the only way to solve the scalability trilemma while remaining decentralized and secure.”When ETH 2.0 comes, it may make scaling solutions redundant – or at least less important. The counter to that is Polygon plans to expand to other blockchains and the interoperability capabilities in future will offset any threat that Ethereum’s Merge presents.The major factors that will influence MATIC’s price in the coming years are –Successful rollout of zero-knowledge EVMsExpansion to new blockchainsGrowth in dApps hosted on the networkPredictions are not immune to changing circumstances and will be updated with new developments. Do note, however, that predictions are not a substitute for research and due diligence.It’s worth pointing out here that as far as social sentiment is concerned, all are on the positive side for Polygon.